This just in from Vancouver/Portland: Expect a nice little bump up in fall Chinook returns to the Columbia.
Managers are forecasting a return of 760,000, up from last year’s forecast and return of around 650,000.
It would be the fifth largest since 1948 if it comes to pass, they say.
And the upriver bright component — just under 400,000 — would be the second largest run since record keeping began in 1964.
Last fall, 325,000 URBs came back to the Hanford Reach, Snake River and other upper system tribs.
Here’s more from today’s announcement:
COLUMBIA RIVER FALL CHINOOK
2011 PRESEASON FORECASTS
- 2011 Forecasts
- LRH – Best return since 2003 and greater than the 10-year average (92,500).
- LRW – Improved over last four years, but slightly below 10-year average (15,400).
- BPH – Slightly less than 2010 actual return but greater than the 10-year average (105,900).
- URB – 2nd largest return since record keeping began in 1964 (The largest return was 420,700 in 1987). Over 60% of the 2011 return is expected to be age-4 fish.
- BUB – Similar to the 10-year average of 47,500.
- PUB – 3rd largest return on record (1986). Greater than 10-year average (43,800).
- Total forecast of 760,600 Columbia River fall Chinook is the 5th largest since at least 1948 and greater than the 10-year average of 565,800.